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Red96
6823.9
57329.9
52259.1
Blue87
20118.5
477928.8
481011.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57554050607080909687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#4
29.90.6
28.529.1
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
28.80.5
28.328.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
68
#11
23.90.6
22.523.1
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
201
#18
18.50.5
18.018.5
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5225
#21
9.10.6
7.78.3
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4810
#29
11.30.5
10.811.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0