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Red107
309833.4
283445.1
481512.9
Blue48
267317.9
45316.9
259111.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863805010015020010748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.4
41.742.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 27.1
2673
#13
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
33.40.4
30.030.4
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 16.4
453
#9
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4815
#28
12.90.4
9.510.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 1.2
2591
#22
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0