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Red57
481512.9
50657.4
118941.6
Blue38
36195.0
547819.2
571114.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46340204060801001205738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.2
29.230.4
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 22.5
5478
#19
19.20.0
21.121.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
4815
#28
12.91.9
5.97.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5711
#24
14.50.1
8.08.1
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5065
#34
7.41.9
10.712.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 2.4
3619
#38
5.00.1
8.08.1
Auto0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0