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Red53
267317.9
50687.2
20118.5
Blue12
477928.8
523912.8
48115.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33330102040506070805312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#18
18.51.0
19.020.0
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 10.3
28.80.6
20.820.1
Auto0.7
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
2673
#13
17.91.0
11.112.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 5.1
5239
#31
12.81.0
9.28.2
Auto0.3
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5068
#23
7.21.0
2.23.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
4811
#39
5.31.0
6.65.6
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0