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Red11
194111.8
496121.9
485117.9
Blue15
285121.5
438436.7
48406.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25710501001502001115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#12
21.91.4
10.18.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 14.8
36.72.6
38.035.4
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
4851
#16
17.90.8
17.416.6
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 3.6
2851
#14
21.52.6
22.119.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
1941
#15
11.80.8
5.74.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 5.2
4840
#30
6.64.3
6.11.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0