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Red38
45076.9
12324.2
309613.0
Blue7
55552.1
481011.3
438011.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372406080100387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#10
24.20.1
19.019.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 12.9
4810
#29
11.31.7
13.211.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Second
3096
#26
13.00.2
10.310.4
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
4380
#27
11.21.7
8.66.9
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
4507
#36
6.90.1
6.97.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
5555
#37
2.11.7
5.43.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0