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Red31
309833.4
52259.1
267317.9
Blue1
50739.2
6823.9
36195.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363201020405060311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
22.622.3
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 9.5
68
#11
23.91.7
14.613.0
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
2673
#13
17.90.3
12.111.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
5073
#33
9.22.8
11.58.7
Auto0.0
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
5225
#21
9.10.3
1.91.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 4.1
3619
#38
5.02.8
8.15.3
Auto0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0