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Red34
20118.5
283445.1
481011.3
Blue40
438436.7
50657.4
45076.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625102040801001203440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.4
31.129.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 8.4
36.70.7
35.434.7
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
201
#18
18.51.4
20.018.6
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 11.1
5065
#34
7.41.2
12.611.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
4810
#29
11.32.4
11.59.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
4507
#36
6.90.7
7.06.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0