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Red89
309613.0
57329.9
118941.6
Blue10
33984.0
485117.9
48406.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73160501001508910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.1
30.431.5
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 23.7
4851
#16
17.90.8
16.615.8
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
573
#4
29.91.1
25.626.7
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 23.3
4840
#30
6.61.3
1.90.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Third
3096
#26
13.01.9
10.412.3
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
3398
#40
4.01.3
7.46.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0