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Red59
317513.4
485117.9
547819.2
Blue111
50687.2
194111.8
283445.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4939020608010012059111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#19
19.20.5
21.422.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 25.9
45.13.5
32.235.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
4851
#16
17.90.5
15.816.3
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
1941
#15
11.83.5
6.910.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
3175
#17
13.40.5
11.712.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
5068
#23
7.23.5
2.56.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0