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Red44
36329.2
52259.1
6823.9
Blue12
553210.2
267317.9
50657.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212904060801001201401604412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#11
23.91.0
12.713.8
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 6.0
2673
#13
17.90.9
12.111.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
3632
#32
9.21.0
9.010.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5532
#25
10.20.9
5.95.0
Auto0.3
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
5225
#21
9.11.0
1.62.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
5065
#34
7.41.4
11.29.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0