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Red4
45076.9
48115.3
20118.5
Blue32
50687.2
485117.9
260416.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2838050100150200432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#18
18.51.3
18.116.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 0.6
4851
#16
17.90.0
16.316.3
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
4507
#36
6.91.3
6.55.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 9.7
2604
#20
16.70.0
15.715.7
Auto0.6
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
4811
#39
5.32.2
6.03.8
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5068
#23
7.20.0
6.06.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0