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Red37
170123.3
485117.9
36195.0
Blue76
55552.1
36329.2
309833.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383620305060703776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.1
16.216.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 10.1
33.41.9
24.626.5
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
4851
#16
17.90.1
16.316.2
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 8.7
3632
#32
9.21.9
10.012.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
3619
#38
5.00.2
6.96.7
Auto0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
5555
#37
2.13.2
2.86.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0