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Red39
481512.9
12324.2
50687.2
Blue54
267317.9
523912.8
194111.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382702060801001203954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#10
24.20.1
21.221.2
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
2673
#13
17.91.5
11.212.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
4815
#28
12.90.1
10.610.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 0.1
5239
#31
12.82.5
8.410.9
Auto0.3
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5068
#23
7.20.1
6.06.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1941
#15
11.81.5
9.911.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0