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Red50
50657.4
259111.8
57329.9
Blue0
553210.2
48115.3
309613.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51160406080100120500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#4
29.90.1
28.128.3
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 16.9
3096
#26
13.00.1
13.513.7
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
2591
#22
11.80.2
9.59.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
5532
#25
10.20.1
5.05.1
Auto0.3
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
5065
#34
7.40.2
9.79.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
4811
#39
5.30.1
3.83.9
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0