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Red7
6823.9
481011.3
50687.2
Blue65
438436.7
52259.1
259111.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500100150200765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#11
23.91.5
17.415.9
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 12.8
36.70.8
37.238.0
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
4810
#29
11.32.5
15.713.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2591
#22
11.81.3
10.311.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5068
#23
7.21.5
3.72.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5225
#21
9.10.8
2.02.8
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0