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Red18
285121.5
477928.8
55552.1
Blue42
260416.7
571114.5
57329.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545020801001201842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.9
22.620.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
573
#4
29.90.3
24.123.7
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
2851
#14
21.51.9
24.022.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
2604
#20
16.70.3
15.915.6
Auto0.6
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
5555
#37
2.19.1
14.65.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 12.5
5711
#24
14.515.8
23.88.0
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0