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Red1
48406.6
481512.9
553210.2
Blue36
485117.9
81823.1
438011.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17420100150136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#28
12.91.7
7.75.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 10.2
818
#8
23.10.3
13.212.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
5532
#25
10.21.0
6.35.2
Auto0.3
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 7.7
4851
#16
17.90.2
17.617.4
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4840
#30
6.61.7
7.96.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4380
#27
11.20.3
8.98.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0