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Red60
52147.8
477928.8
496121.9
Blue25
45316.9
45076.9
48406.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51110204060801001201406025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.7
25.025.7
Auto0.7
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 11.8
453
#9
16.90.4
12.913.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
4961
#12
21.91.2
11.612.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 15.0
4507
#36
6.90.4
5.15.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Third
5214
#35
7.81.2
9.510.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
4840
#30
6.60.6
-0.60.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0