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Red56
553210.2
45316.9
496121.9
Blue80
118941.6
547819.2
267317.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22760501001505680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#12
21.92.1
12.714.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 19.7
41.60.5
34.234.7
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
453
#9
16.91.2
13.214.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5478
#19
19.20.5
22.923.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5532
#25
10.21.2
5.16.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 7.7
2673
#13
17.90.5
12.813.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0