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Red14
55552.1
523912.8
20118.5
Blue29
259111.8
481512.9
50739.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352404060801001429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#18
18.50.1
17.717.6
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 5.5
4815
#28
12.90.2
10.711.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
5239
#31
12.80.2
10.910.7
Auto0.3
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
2591
#22
11.80.2
9.710.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5555
#37
2.10.2
6.15.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5073
#33
9.20.2
5.86.0
Auto0.0
Teleop9.2
End0.0