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Red67
481011.3
485117.9
57329.9
Blue80
267317.9
50739.2
496121.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602802040801001201406780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#4
29.90.5
27.528.0
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 7.9
4961
#12
21.93.6
14.818.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
4851
#16
17.90.5
18.218.7
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Level
2673
#13
17.92.3
13.315.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
4810
#29
11.30.8
11.512.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
5073
#33
9.23.6
6.09.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.2
End0.0