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Red106
170123.3
48406.6
118941.6
Blue84
48115.3
571114.5
283445.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4657010015020025010684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.62.8
34.737.5
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
45.11.4
39.040.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
23.32.8
15.318.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
5711
#24
14.52.1
14.816.9
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4840
#30
6.64.4
-0.63.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
4811
#39
5.32.1
3.15.3
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0