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Red9
259111.8
33984.0
438011.2
Blue78
50687.2
309833.4
477928.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561050100150200978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2591
#22
11.80.6
10.09.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 21.6
33.41.1
24.425.5
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
4380
#27
11.20.6
10.09.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 17.6
28.81.1
24.926.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
3398
#40
4.00.6
2.62.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5068
#23
7.21.1
6.37.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0