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Red46
52259.1
194111.8
285121.5
Blue16
55552.1
45076.9
553210.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421302060801001204616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#14
21.50.3
22.923.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 11.3
5532
#25
10.20.1
6.96.8
Auto0.3
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Second
1941
#15
11.80.3
11.712.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
4507
#36
6.90.1
5.55.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Third
5225
#21
9.10.3
4.54.8
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 7.1
5555
#37
2.10.2
5.85.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0