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Red91
438011.2
481512.9
267317.9
Blue52
283445.1
50657.4
33984.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295201001509152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#13
17.92.8
15.618.4
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 27.1
45.10.4
40.340.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
4815
#28
12.94.1
9.013.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
5065
#34
7.40.6
7.78.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
4380
#27
11.24.1
9.413.5
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 7.2
3398
#40
4.00.6
2.02.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0