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Red39
12324.2
48115.3
309833.4
Blue38
496121.9
438436.7
55552.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506101001502002503938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
25.525.1
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
blue by 3.3
36.71.2
37.636.4
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
123
#10
24.20.4
22.922.5
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 2.2
4961
#12
21.91.7
18.416.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
4811
#39
5.30.6
5.34.6
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
5555
#37
2.11.7
5.74.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0