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Red13
52259.1
52147.8
571114.5
Blue18
45316.9
485117.9
48115.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26400501001501318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5711
#24
14.51.0
13.312.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4851
#16
17.90.5
16.415.9
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5225
#21
9.10.8
6.05.2
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 7.8
453
#9
16.90.5
16.415.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5214
#35
7.81.1
9.68.5
Auto0.4
Teleop7.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
4811
#39
5.30.6
6.86.2
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0