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Red46
481011.3
438436.7
12324.2
Blue4
57329.9
36329.2
481512.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7148020406080100120140464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.2
34.533.3
Auto1.0
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
573
#4
29.92.5
30.728.3
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
123
#10
24.21.2
22.421.2
Auto0.3
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 11.2
4815
#28
12.93.0
10.67.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
4810
#29
11.31.5
13.211.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
3632
#32
9.22.5
12.09.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0