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Red72
170123.3
81823.1
45316.9
Blue44
438011.2
20118.5
285121.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584802040801001207244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.7
20.521.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
2851
#14
21.50.4
22.722.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
818
#8
23.10.8
22.122.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
201
#18
18.50.4
17.817.5
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
453
#9
16.90.7
15.916.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 5.8
4380
#27
11.20.5
11.110.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0