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Red94
52259.1
283445.1
485117.9
Blue18
259111.8
547819.2
481011.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6436020801001201409418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.6
40.141.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 25.9
5478
#19
19.20.9
19.518.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
4851
#16
17.91.6
16.317.9
Auto0.9
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
2591
#22
11.81.1
10.29.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5225
#21
9.11.6
5.26.8
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
4810
#29
11.31.0
11.710.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0