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Red58
48406.6
496121.9
260416.7
Blue69
6823.9
45076.9
481512.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403002060801005869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#12
21.91.7
19.921.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 2.0
68
#11
23.91.8
20.322.1
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
2604
#20
16.71.5
14.816.3
Auto0.6
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
4815
#28
12.92.0
7.69.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
4840
#30
6.61.7
4.96.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4507
#36
6.91.8
5.16.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0