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Red28
50657.4
309613.0
52147.8
Blue30
50687.2
571114.5
285121.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2444060801001201401602830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#26
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 8.5
2851
#14
21.50.6
22.321.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
5214
#35
7.80.0
7.87.8
Auto0.4
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5711
#24
14.50.7
12.411.7
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5065
#34
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
5068
#23
7.20.6
7.87.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0