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Red166
46964.6
7064.3
400352.0
Blue158
276754.2
436258.6
353946.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914950100200250166158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#38
64.60.0
64.664.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.0
End0.0
red by 6.0
4362
#18
58.60.0
58.658.6
Auto0.7
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
70
#4
64.30.0
64.364.3
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 10.1
2767
#21
54.20.0
54.254.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Third
4003
#44
52.00.0
52.052.0
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
3539
#39
46.40.0
46.446.4
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0