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Red127
295957.1
504659.4
505344.6
Blue143
296047.9
31478.2
353826.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157146100120180200220127143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.0
59.459.4
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
blue by 18.7
314
#12
78.20.0
78.278.2
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
Second
2959
#22
57.10.0
57.157.1
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
2960
#48
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
Third
5053
#51
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 17.9
3538
#96
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0