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Red188
6863.6
213770.1
49447.9
Blue164
296047.9
31478.2
353826.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414150100200250188164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.0
70.970.9
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
blue by 8.1
314
#12
78.20.0
78.278.2
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
Second
68
#11
63.60.0
64.564.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 15.8
2960
#48
47.90.0
47.947.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
Third
494
#58
47.90.0
48.848.8
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 21.2
3538
#96
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0