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Red131
57358.9
567528.2
14142.7
Blue140
360455.8
511438.8
448228.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114113105110120125130135140131140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#6
58.90.6
47.548.2
Auto2.0
Teleop56.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
3604
#32
55.81.5
56.858.3
Auto1.2
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
141
#35
42.70.6
43.644.2
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
5114
#87
38.81.5
39.040.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
5675
#74
28.20.6
26.927.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4482
#73
28.41.5
21.022.5
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0