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Red166
377031.0
353644.0
283450.3
Blue104
353826.7
150643.0
496141.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149250150200166104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#40
50.32.6
47.950.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 7.3
1506
#36
43.00.3
37.738.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
3536
#29
44.02.6
41.744.3
Auto2.0
Teleop41.9
End0.0
red by 2.6
4961
#49
41.40.3
35.035.2
Auto0.1
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Third
3770
#99
31.02.6
24.827.4
Auto0.6
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 4.3
3538
#96
26.70.3
25.726.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0