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Red166
526041.8
12337.8
504858.3
Blue145
556238.6
521637.2
86250.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199650150200166145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#10
58.32.3
46.548.9
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 8.4
862
#53
50.02.1
41.844.0
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0
Second
5260
#34
41.82.3
40.342.6
Auto0.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
5562
#69
38.62.1
32.534.6
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
123
#52
37.82.3
32.634.9
Auto1.3
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 0.6
5216
#66
37.22.1
28.530.6
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0