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Red184
504659.4
261946.5
150248.0
Blue153
560340.0
332246.4
387538.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310350150200184153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.42.5
54.156.7
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
red by 13.0
3322
#60
46.42.1
40.242.3
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
1502
#42
48.02.5
41.644.1
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 8.1
5603
#57
40.02.1
40.642.7
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
2619
#68
46.52.5
37.540.0
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
3875
#75
38.42.1
30.532.6
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0