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Red144
368849.3
21757.1
102554.6
Blue135
354753.3
85744.1
10763.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513280100120160180144135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#27
57.10.3
54.855.2
Auto0.1
Teleop57.0
End0.0
blue by 6.7
107
#15
63.90.2
57.056.8
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
1025
#19
54.60.3
42.843.1
Auto1.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
3547
#26
53.30.2
42.742.4
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Third
3688
#47
49.30.3
39.539.8
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 5.3
857
#67
44.10.2
39.539.3
Auto1.1
Teleop43.0
End0.0