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Red130
547826.5
569230.6
213770.1
Blue77
49447.9
361848.7
357028.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107106809010011012013013077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.11.0
62.863.8
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
red by 21.3
3618
#23
48.71.1
31.230.1
Auto2.1
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
5692
#82
30.61.0
28.929.8
Auto0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 17.3
494
#58
47.91.1
48.147.1
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
5478
#88
26.51.0
19.220.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
3570
#101
28.11.1
30.829.7
Auto1.3
Teleop26.7
End0.0