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Red112
549819.0
438445.4
24545.9
Blue52
571226.2
362049.9
171839.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9512405015020025030011252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#61
45.90.5
46.146.5
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3620
#24
49.93.6
49.746.1
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Second
4384
#28
45.40.5
38.338.7
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
red by 6.2
1718
#85
39.23.6
39.335.7
Auto2.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
5498
#102
19.00.5
18.519.0
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5712
#94
26.23.6
35.131.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0