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Red134
569230.6
296047.9
50351.4
Blue88
70329.9
354753.3
28050.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11112805015020025030013488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#46
51.40.8
44.945.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3547
#26
53.32.1
48.045.9
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
2960
#48
47.90.8
45.446.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
280
#56
50.22.1
48.446.4
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
5692
#82
30.60.8
27.428.3
Auto0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 0.7
703
#92
29.92.1
33.131.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0