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Red232
276754.2
440531.0
10763.9
Blue116
439146.6
550936.6
46964.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125161050100200250300232116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#15
63.94.8
59.964.7
Auto9.5
Teleop54.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
469
#38
64.62.3
68.966.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.0
End0.0
Second
2767
#21
54.24.8
56.561.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
4391
#54
46.62.3
48.846.6
Auto0.2
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Third
4405
#76
31.04.8
18.723.5
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5509
#71
36.62.3
43.441.1
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0