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Red131
28050.2
365639.9
387538.4
Blue91
83029.3
551728.1
247433.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977620406012014016013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#56
50.21.7
41.943.6
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 16.7
2474
#97
33.50.4
39.139.5
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
3656
#43
39.91.7
27.729.4
Auto0.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
830
#70
29.30.4
13.914.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
3875
#75
38.41.7
27.629.3
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 10.3
5517
#100
28.10.4
29.129.5
Auto1.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0