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Red162
377031.0
28050.2
481529.8
Blue155
496767.5
560340.0
345253.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88169050150200250300162155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#56
50.22.9
47.350.2
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0
blue by 17.2
4967
#13
67.50.4
65.965.5
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
3770
#99
31.02.9
30.032.9
Auto0.6
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 22.1
3452
#33
53.10.4
55.355.0
Auto0.6
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
4815
#78
29.82.9
26.929.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 10.1
5603
#57
40.00.4
41.441.1
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0