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Red190
438445.4
332246.4
49447.9
Blue134
440531.0
86250.0
14142.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911350100150200190134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#58
47.92.9
47.350.2
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
862
#53
50.00.7
48.649.3
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0
Second
3322
#60
46.42.9
41.144.0
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 3.7
141
#35
42.70.7
43.844.5
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Third
4384
#28
45.42.9
43.146.0
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
red by 14.3
4405
#76
31.00.7
27.728.4
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0