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Red127
2754.2
567430.1
191856.4
Blue146
439146.6
14142.7
213770.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113149050100200250127146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#45
56.40.2
49.950.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
blue by 13.6
70.10.2
63.763.5
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
Second
27
#55
54.20.2
39.539.7
Auto1.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
red by 7.6
4391
#54
46.60.2
49.549.3
Auto0.2
Teleop46.4
End0.0
Third
5674
#95
30.10.2
33.834.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 12.5
141
#35
42.70.2
36.035.9
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0