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Red127
276754.2
70329.9
560340.0
Blue89
49447.9
132238.1
567528.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159005010015020012789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#21
54.20.6
50.451.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 6.4
494
#58
47.90.4
43.242.7
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
5603
#57
40.00.6
35.335.9
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 1.8
1322
#64
38.10.4
28.427.9
Auto1.9
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
703
#92
29.90.6
29.930.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 1.7
5675
#74
28.20.4
25.725.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop29.0
End0.0